I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Onward to freedom! That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. 7 distinct works Similar authors. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. This button displays the currently selected search type. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Which ones bigger? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Thats going to take a LONG time. Step 1. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Thats a pretty good trip. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Probability is a pure odd. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. You have lived your life. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Something was dropped and then picked up. Me neither. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. But on all probability it would. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. June 24, 2022 . What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Based on the data from the CDC . Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. You may think You say that to everyone!. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Step 4. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Now things start getting interesting. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. But let's think about this some more. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? So what's the probability of your being born? Its maddening to see people worry so much. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Step 2. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Which one's bigger? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Want to Read. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Think of yourself as dead. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Or stalk me (with love.). That's a pretty straightforward calculation. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! You get the volume of planet Earth. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Step 3. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Your email address will not be published. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Why? Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. How fast does a laden fly fly? Step 4. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? An unimaginably long time. And worry and fear? I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Then the probability of Mr. But lets make it longer. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Thats a ridiculously huge number. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific.
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